Saturday, August 17, 2013

2013 Brothers Keeper Draft Results

The draft was a great success. Thanks for being prompt and bringing great food. It was a real joy. Thanks too for the Skype connection for the one who missed. It went great.

Here are the draft results for each team (and the link to the spreadsheet).

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Draft Details

Brothers Keeper draft details are thus:

Time: 5:00 PM for grub.
Draft Time: 6:00 PM.
Location: Same as always.

Items to bring:
Food: Dessert or Side
Drink of your choice
$15 for BBQ
Your draft spreadsheet or computer.

If you need more information contact The Commish.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

The 2013 Brothers Keeper 7 Post-Keeper Pre-Draft Spreadsheet

The keepers for the 2013 Brothers Keeper 7 league year have been reported and declared to the League Commissioner on time. Thank you for being prompt and for selecting what round they belong in.

The following spreadsheet is available for use for the draft (and for download). The draft order and keeper values all need to be verified once more but this should be pretty firm. If you see any errors please notify the League Commissioner or League Historian for an investigation into a correction.

Just a reminder to keep vigil on the draft time and location. Saturday August 17th is the draft day. Be there or make plans to skype in live. Thanks.

Good luck!

Friday, August 9, 2013

Brothers Keeper 7: The 2013 League Year: Keeper Declaration Date and Draft

Welcome back to the ramp up to the new fantasy football season. It is always a joy to anticipate the Brothers Keeper Fantasy Football league year's festivities. Will there be drama? Maybe. Will there be stiff competition? Yes. Will Yer X-MOM win again? Who knows. But keeper league success begins with clear dates for the keeper declaration and draft.

The NFL regular season begins Thursday September 5th. The World Champion Baltimore Ravens take on the Denver Broncos. The draft will need to be completed before this game, preferably no later than Labor Day, Monday September 2d.

To Keeper or Not to Keeper?

The commissioner has determined that the keeper declaration deadline date will be Sunday, August 11, at 11:59 PM CT (cf. Section II. D.). Please email him, call him, text him, tell him in person, or write it in invisible ink and mail it to him to decrypt. Just make sure it is legible and that he remembers it. Also see the league the website.

Please review your 2012 final rosters to view your team's players. Also double check the draft value for your players. Confirm whether or not they have developmental eligibility. If there are any concerns or items you deem are incorrect to the list posted on this blog site, please contact the League Historian for clarification.

If you need a reminder of the keeper rules please consult the Canons. It could be worth your time to revisit it.

Draft Considerations

If you wish to no longer play in Brothers Keeper, please notify the league commissioner as soon as possible. I have no idea why anyone would want to forsake this tremendously talented and competitive league but if you have to do so, please be courteous and do so in a timely manner for the league replacement to be chosen. There are a number of rules that need to be followed before the league gives complete control of your roster to a new league participant. Please remember to log in to the league site as well for other discussions and smack talk.

The draft will be Saturday August, 17th. Time and location will be released soon. Please be prepared. It is a short turn around from previous years following the keeper deadline. Make arrangements to be there or skype in to the fun.

To recall the previous post on the draft order, it will be as follows (with updated names):

1. Holy Smoke
2. ThePunchin Munchkins
3. Forever Tide
4. Game of Pwns
5. SloppyButicusMaximus
6. Points ON the Bench
7. Ghost
8. Yankinfowlsandfeline
9. Rmmm's Golden Eagle
10. Yer X-MOM

Tuesday, August 6, 2013

2012 Accuracy

Accuracy can really matter a lot. Maybe not always. But sometimes you really need predictions to be correct. Perhaps it's a blood sugar test so you don't end up in a diabetic coma. You don't want to be all hopeful that you can eat another cookie on a false blood-sugar reading and then find out some prediction instrument was baseless. No one likes let downs like that. We don't like it in fantasy football either. No one wants to draw blood twice.

So if you are asking yourself, "Who has the most accurate fantasy football projections?" or "Which cheatsheet should I use?" or something along those lines, this post is for you because you care about winning. You don't want to put your stock in something worthless. Everyone knows and utilizes ADP. But obviously you're more sophisticated than ADP. You're the one who wants an advantage over the other guys using ADP. You are not a lemming. You want to eat lemmings for breakfast!

The Accuracy of 2012 Preseason Fantasy Football Projections
So whose fantasy football draft rankings are the most accurate? Whose fantasy football projections are the best? I like accurate fantasy football projections. A few years ago I introduced you to the Fantasy Football Librarian who has taken it upon herself to evaluate preseason fantasy football projections after each fantasy season is complete. Finally someone began holding those prognosticators feet to the proverbial fire.

There was a huge void to fill and she has done so quite admirably and unbiasedly. Thankfully after each season the FFLibrarian does the major task of evaluating the most accurate fantasy football projections on the Internet (of those submitted to her). She then reports the accuracy results to the fantasy football playing masses (Bless you Fantasy Football Librarian!). So who has the most accurate fantasy football projections? Who is the best predictor of regular season fantasy football statistics? And by the way, she, thankfully, breaks it down by position for each year as well. So for your viewing pleasure check out: 2012.

Here are the results of the previous winners 2011 (2011's participants; see also the F.S.T.A. contest rules and F.S.T.A. contest results here; see previous contest awards too); 2010; 2009; 2008; and 2007.

The Fantasy Football Librarian is no longer alone. Now you can also see FantasyPros accuracy evaluations from individual experts. So head on over to FantasyPros where they employ their PAY methodology to evaluate individual preseason draft rankings from 2012. See also the results of the draft rankings from 2011 (and summary) and the draft rankings from 2010 (and the full results where you can view individual positions if you'd like). This doesn't just give you just website rankings results but you can also see multiple individual experts from each site evaluated. So take a look and maybe get informed about whose fantasy football rankings you should check out. Others like ProFootballWeekly and The NY Times Fifth Down have picked up on FantasyPros work.

The Multi-Year Accuracy of Fantasy Football Projections
It is all about consistency. Which fantasy football sites have the most accurate projections over the course of several years? The FFLibrarian has also collated the results from each of the previous years of research/analysis into a handy Multi-year Accuracy Results thus determining which sites have been the most consistently correct over a longer period of time. See the previous post (FFLibrarian's Multi-year Accuracy Results) for 2009's results (yes, I think she skipped 2010 and 2012... Kids will do that you know so give her a break). It should be interesting to see which sites are climbing the ranks or falling compared to last year's Multi-year Accuracy Results if she is able to publish them before the draft.

FantasyPros also has begun to publish a multi-year accuracy for fantasy draft experts and in season experts. They even allow you to change the data sets for more or less years.

Free Fantasy Football Cheat Sheets
If you haven't seen it, take a look at Fantasy Rundown's 2013 Fantasy Football Rankings and Cheat Sheets. There you will find a ton of rankings you can find for free all in one place nicely organized. Study up along with all the free flowing fantasy football news from my own FF & NFL News page. If you access my daily edited The Brothers Keeper Evening Star you can see past daily editions and read up on the news I highlight including fantasy football strategy articles and research. Check out my FF Tools page for more tools at your disposal. Some are free sites and others require money. You will also find some fantasy football research articles there and on my Advanced Stats page. Whatever the case you can't just use a cheat sheet any more. You need to be prepared with a plan and be up on the latest injury news and transitions on NFL

Weekly Sit/Start or Rankings Advice Accuracy
Another fantasy site (that I have mentioned before), FantasyPros began to evaluate the best weekly fantasy football sit/start advice in 2009. They did it again for each week of 2010, 2011, and 2012 along with the option of seeing the multi-year rankings. So check out their full results and the interviews of their top experts from 2010 and some analysis after 2011 along with Which Fantasy Experts Like to Gamble? If you used FantasyPros Expert Consensus Rankings then you should see the results of using multiple combinations of sit/start advice (How Accurate are Expert Consensus Rankings?). By the way I have their widget on my NFL News page. It definitely advocates the "Wisdom of the Crowd" approach to your weekly sit/start decisions and gives you an idea for the accuracy of their widget.

Good luck drafting!